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68.5}, {"date": "1979-02-01", "value": 69.2}, {"date": "1979-03-01", "value": 69.9}, {"date": "1979-04-01", "value": 70.6}, {"date": "1979-05-01", "value": 71.4}, {"date": "1979-06-01", "value": 72.2}, {"date": "1979-07-01", "value": 73.0}, {"date": "1979-08-01", "value": 73.7}, {"date": "1979-09-01", "value": 74.4}, {"date": "1979-10-01", "value": 75.2}, {"date": "1979-11-01", "value": 76.0}, {"date": "1979-12-01", "value": 76.9}, {"date": "1980-01-01", "value": 78.0}, {"date": "1980-02-01", "value": 79.0}, {"date": "1980-03-01", "value": 80.1}, {"date": "1980-04-01", "value": 80.9}, {"date": "1980-05-01", "value": 81.7}, {"date": "1980-06-01", "value": 82.5}, {"date": "1980-07-01", "value": 82.6}, {"date": "1980-08-01", "value": 83.2}, {"date": "1980-09-01", "value": 83.9}, {"date": "1980-10-01", "value": 84.7}, {"date": "1980-11-01", "value": 85.6}, {"date": "1980-12-01", "value": 86.4}, {"date": "1981-01-01", "value": 87.2}, {"date": "1981-02-01", "value": 88.0}, {"date": 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identification", "periodicity": {"cycle_detected": null, "cycle_predictive": "NOT_ESTABLISHED", "cycle_stable": null, "dominant": null, "note": "Descriptive frequency concentration, not a significance test. 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"dominant": null, "note": "Descriptive frequency concentration, not a significance test. Null means insufficient history, not absence of a cycle. 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"cycle_predictive": "NOT_ESTABLISHED", "cycle_stable": null, "dominant": null, "note": "Descriptive frequency concentration, not a significance test. 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"OIL", "status": "REAL_DATA"}, {"driver": "wti", "forecast_feature": false, "note": "No causal contribution inferred", "series_id": "MCOILWTICO", "status": "REAL_DATA"}, {"driver": "us_production", "forecast_feature": false, "note": "No causal contribution inferred", "series_id": null, "status": "NOT_AVAILABLE"}, {"driver": "global_production", "forecast_feature": false, "note": "No causal contribution inferred", "series_id": null, "status": "NOT_AVAILABLE"}, {"driver": "opec_production", "forecast_feature": false, "note": "No causal contribution inferred", "series_id": null, "status": "NOT_AVAILABLE"}, {"driver": "inventories", "forecast_feature": false, "note": "No causal contribution inferred", "series_id": "EIA_STOCKS", "status": "REAL_DATA"}, {"driver": "strategic_inventories", "forecast_feature": false, "note": "No causal contribution inferred", "series_id": null, "status": "NOT_AVAILABLE"}, {"driver": "rig_count", "forecast_feature": false, "note": "No causal contribution inferred", "series_id": null, "status": "NOT_AVAILABLE"}, {"driver": "demand_proxy", "forecast_feature": false, "note": "US proxy only", "series_id": "RRSFS", "status": "REAL_DATA"}, {"driver": "refinery_utilization", "forecast_feature": false, "note": "No causal contribution inferred", "series_id": null, "status": "NOT_AVAILABLE"}, {"driver": "global_growth", "forecast_feature": false, "note": "No causal contribution inferred", "series_id": null, "status": "NOT_AVAILABLE"}, {"driver": "china_growth", "forecast_feature": false, "note": "No causal contribution inferred", "series_id": null, "status": "NOT_AVAILABLE"}, {"driver": "usd", "forecast_feature": false, "note": "No causal contribution inferred", "series_id": "TWEXBGSMTH", "status": "REAL_DATA"}, {"driver": "real_rates", "forecast_feature": false, "note": "No causal contribution inferred", "series_id": "FII10", "status": "REAL_DATA"}, {"driver": "futures_curve", "forecast_feature": false, "note": "No causal contribution inferred", "series_id": null, "status": "NOT_AVAILABLE"}, {"driver": "spare_capacity", "forecast_feature": false, "note": "No causal contribution inferred", "series_id": null, "status": "NOT_AVAILABLE"}, {"driver": "global_demand", "forecast_feature": false, "note": "No causal contribution inferred", "series_id": null, "status": "NOT_AVAILABLE"}, {"driver": "geopolitical_risk", "forecast_feature": false, "note": "No causal contribution inferred", "series_id": null, "status": "NOT_AVAILABLE"}]}, "limitations": ["Retrospective history has been reused; no untouched independent confirmation.", "New ALFRED day-end sources improve PIT but do not independently verify official release times.", "Oil uses monthly EIA Brent via ALFRED for modeling when available; World Bank price card is separately sourced.", "Gold current benchmark has insufficient history; old benchmark research is not deployable on the new benchmark.", "Latest-vintage copper and inventory backtests use an explicit two-month 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